Germany's hard coal direct material inputs are forecasted to decline marginally from 0.47 metric tons per capita in 2024 to 0.43 metric tons per capita in 2028. This indicates a steady yearly decrease, reflecting ongoing shifts towards sustainable energy alternatives and policy measures aiming at greenhouse gas reductions. In 2023, outputs were already seeing a reduction compared to prior years, emphasizing efforts to reduce coal dependency.
Year-on-year, the decrease is consistent at around 2.13%, demonstrating a stable but slow transition. Over the five-year forecast period, the compound annual growth rate (CAGR) highlights an average annual decline of about 2.13% as well.
Future trends to watch for include the impact of Germany's Energiewende policies, potential acceleration in the adoption of renewable energy sources, and changes in industrial energy use patterns. Monitoring these factors will be crucial to understanding the trajectory of coal reduction in the upcoming years.