The measles immunisation rate in South Africa stood at 87.5% in 2023. The forecasted values for the next five years show a gradual yearly increase: 87.9% in 2024, 88.1% in 2025, 88.2% in 2026, 88.4% in 2027, and 88.6% in 2028. The year-on-year percentage variations indicate very modest growth, with an average annual increase of 0.25% from 2023 to 2028. Over the last two years, the variation remains consistent at approximately 0.25%. The Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) for this period is about 0.25%, reflecting stable and moderate progress in immunisation coverage.
Future trends to watch for include potential policy changes affecting immunisation programs, the introduction of new vaccines, funding availability, and public health initiatives aimed at improving vaccination rates. Additionally, external factors such as disease outbreaks or community resistance to vaccines could impact these forecasts.
