Forecast: Share of Scientific Publications Among the World's 10% Top-Cited Publications in Anesthesiology and Pain Medicine in Brazil

The share of Brazilian scientific publications in anesthesiology and pain medicine that rank among the world’s top 10% most-cited is on a gradual upward trajectory. In 2023, this figure was at a foundational level slightly below 7.22%. From 2024 to 2028, forecasts suggest a steady increase, with annual values moving up from 7.22% to 7.45%. This reflects a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 0.78% over the period. Year-on-year variations are subtle but positive, indicating consistent progress.

Future trends to watch for include innovations in research methodologies and increased international collaborations, which could further enhance the prominence and impact of Brazilian research in this field.

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