The forecast for grapefruit demand in Japan shows a declining trend from 2024 onwards, decreasing from 73.0 thousand metric tons in 2024 to an estimated 60.0 thousand metric tons by 2028. This signifies a consistent year-on-year decline, with a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) over the period reflecting a similar downward trajectory. Comparatively, demand in 2023 stood above 73.0 thousand metric tons, which was higher than the forecasted value for 2024, indicating an ongoing downturn.
Future trends to watch for include possible shifts in consumer health trends, changes in dietary preferences towards locally grown fruits, and potential impacts of any new agricultural or trade policies on importation costs and the availability of grapefruit in Japan.