China's fruit production has shown a consistent upward trend, growing from 22.75 ten million metric tons in 2013 to 31.98 ten million metric tons in 2023. The year-on-year growth has varied, with notable peaks such as a 6.67% increase in 2019. From 2023, the production is forecasted to continue its rise, reaching 36.93 ten million metric tons by 2028. Over the past five years, the compound annual growth rate has averaged at 4.48%, projecting a more modest forecasted average of 2.28% until 2028.
These trends suggest that while growth in fruit production will continue, the rate of increase is expected to slow down. To maintain and potentially accelerate growth, focus areas could include technological advancements in agriculture, climate resilience strategies, and improvements in supply chain logistics.