Forecast: Share of Physicians Employed in Hospitals in Italy

The share of physicians employed in hospitals in Italy has shown a general upward trend from 2013 to 2023, increasing from 19.96% to 21.51%. The year-on-year variations indicate minor fluctuations but an overall positive growth trajectory, with notable years being 2016 (2% increase), 2017 (1.86% increase), and 2018 (2.78% increase). The last two years (2022 and 2023) have shown modest growth of 0.56% each. The CAGR over the last five years up to 2023 is a low 0.093%, reflecting a deceleration in growth compared to earlier periods.

Looking forward, forecast data predict a continued gradual increase in the share of physicians employed in hospitals, with the percentage expected to reach 22.09% by 2028. The five-year forecast CAGR is 0.42%, indicating a steady yet slow increase.

Future trends to watch for:

  • Impact of healthcare policy changes on physician employment models.
  • Technological advancements and how they might shift employment dynamics.
  • Potential effects of demographic changes on the demand for hospital-based physicians.

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