The forecasted data for the incidence of Tuberculosis (TB) in the United Arab Emirates shows a consistent decrease from 2024 to 2028. Starting at 590 cases per hundred thousand persons in 2024, there is a gradual decline to 570 in 2025, 540 in 2026, 520 in 2027, and finally reaching 500 in 2028. This represents a year-on-year decrease of approximately 3.4% from 2024 to 2025, 5.3% from 2025 to 2026, and 3.7% from 2026 to 2027, culminating in a 3.8% decrease from 2027 to 2028. The Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) over these five years indicates a steady average annual decrease of around 4.1%.
Looking ahead, key trends to monitor include the impact of public health initiatives on reducing TB incidence, the evolution of TB strains, and the effectiveness of vaccination programs. Additionally, socioeconomic factors and the integration of TB control measures into broader public health strategies will be critical in sustaining this downward trend.
