Forecast: Number of New Clinically Diagnosed Pulmonary Tuberculosis Cases in Kenya

The forecasted data for new clinically diagnosed pulmonary tuberculosis cases in Kenya shows a consistent decline from 2024 to 2028. Starting at 23.93 thousand cases in 2024, there is a gradual decrease each year, culminating at 22.74 thousand cases by 2028. This represents a year-on-year decline of approximately 0.83% to 0.89% over the forecast period. The compounded annual growth rate (CAGR) for this period also indicates a decreasing trend, showcasing an average annual decrease in new tuberculosis cases.

Looking ahead, it is crucial to monitor factors that could influence these trends, including improvements in healthcare access, TB awareness campaigns, and advancements in diagnosis and treatment methods. Additionally, the impact of global health initiatives and changes in environmental and socio-economic conditions could significantly affect future tuberculosis case rates in Kenya.

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