In 2023, the HIV incidence rate in Angola stood at 0.73 units per 100 uninfected population aged 15-49. Starting from 2013's rate of 1.68, there has been a steady year-on-year decline in the incidence rate, averaging a CAGR of approximately -7.53% over the past decade. Over the last two years specifically, there has been a notable decrease with year-on-year variations of -6.98% in 2022 and -8.75% in 2023.
Forecasts indicate a continued decrease in HIV incidence, with an expected average annual reduction of -7.25% over the next five years, culminating in a forecasted rate of 0.46 by 2028. This represents a projected overall reduction of -31.34% from 2023 to 2028.
Future trends to watch:
- Implementation of new public health strategies or interventions aiming to reduce HIV transmission.
- Changes in healthcare accessibility and HIV treatment availability.
- Socioeconomic factors that may influence the rate of new infections.
- Impact of education and awareness programs on high-risk populations.
