Forecast: Rail Freight Transport in Sweden

The rail freight transport in Sweden demonstrated a mixed performance over the past decade. From 2013 to 2015, the sector experienced fluctuations, highlighted by a decline in 2015. A subsequent recovery phase ensued with notable increases in 2016 and 2017. The period from 2018 to 2023 generally exhibited stability, with minor year-on-year variations. As of 2023, the volume stood at 22.35 billion tonne kilometers, reflecting a gradual upward trend.

Year-on-year variations over the past two years show minute changes of 0.29% in 2022 and 0.28% in 2023. The compounded annual growth rate (CAGR) over the last five years was relatively static at -0.39%.

Looking ahead, the forecast suggests continued moderate growth. Over the next five years, the sector is expected to expand at a forecasted five-year CAGR of 0.21% with an overall 5-year growth rate of 1.07%, reaching 22.66 billion tonne kilometers by 2028.

Future Trends to Watch For:

  • Technological innovations and digitalization in rail infrastructure.
  • Increased focus on sustainability and a shift from road to rail for greener logistics.
  • Potential impacts of regulatory changes on rail freight tariffs and operations.