Forecast: Length of Power Purchase Agreement for Small Hydro Energy in Indonesia

The Power Purchase Agreement (PPA) length for small hydro energy in Indonesia remained stable at 20 years from 2013 to 2019. Starting in 2020, there has been a gradual increase each year, reaching 23 years in 2023. This represents a year-on-year increase of 4.55% between 2022 and 2023. The Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) over the last five years is 2.83%. Future forecasts suggest a continued upward trend, with the PPA length expected to reach 26 years by 2028, reflecting a forecasted five-year CAGR of 1.61% and an overall growth rate of 8.33%.

Future trends to watch for:

  • Potential policy changes that could either expedite or hinder the extension trend of PPAs.
  • Technological advancements in hydro energy efficiency and their impact on contractual terms.
  • Economic and environmental factors influencing the renewable energy market in Indonesia.

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