Forecast: Maternal Mortality Ratio in Canada

The maternal mortality ratio in Canada has been relatively stable over the past decade, ranging from 11 deaths per 100,000 live births in 2013 to 10 deaths per 100,000 live births in 2023. Notably, there was a one-time reduction of approximately 9.09% in 2016, after which the rate stabilized at 10 deaths per 100,000 live births. From 2024 onwards, this rate is forecasted to remain constant at 10 deaths per 100,000 live births with no further year-on-year variations.

Key trends observed:

  • There has been a long-term annual reduction, highlighted by a 1.73% Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR).
  • Fluctuations include the significant drop in 2016 but otherwise remaining unchanged.
  • The forecast period through 2028 predicts no further changes, maintaining a consistent ratio.

Future trends to watch for include potential impacts of healthcare policy changes, advancements in maternal healthcare, and improved access to medical services for pregnant individuals, which could influence future maternal mortality rates positively or negatively.

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