The number of lorries in Germany with a permissible maximum gross weight of at least 40,000 kg is projected to decrease from 2024 through 2028. In 2023, the figure stood at approximately 1,050. The forecasts indicate a decline from 1,030 in 2024 to 919.95 in 2028, showcasing a clear downward trend.
This trend equates to a year-on-year decline of about 3% in 2025, 2.68% in 2026, 2.69% in 2027, and 2.71% in 2028. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) for this five-year period indicates an average annual decrease of around 3%.
Future trends to watch for include technological advancements in logistics, potential shifts to more sustainable transportation methods, and regulatory changes impacting heavy-duty vehicle usage. Monitoring these factors will be crucial for stakeholders in the heavy freight industry.
