Forecast: Total Knee Replacement Performed on Patients in the UK

The total number of knee replacement surgeries in the UK has been forecasted to steadily increase from 2024 through 2028. In 2023, the actual figure stood at 107.5 thousand procedures. Year-on-year growth is expected, with annual increments reflected as approximately 1.38% in 2025, 1.33% in 2026, 1.29% in 2027, and 1.25% in 2028. The CAGR projected over the five-year period from 2024 to 2028 is approximately 1.3%, demonstrating a consistent upward trajectory in demand for knee replacement surgeries.

Future trends to watch for:

  • Advancements in minimally invasive surgical techniques could alter the frequency or types of knee replacements performed.
  • Demographic shifts, such as an aging population, may lead to increased demand.
  • Innovations in prosthetic materials could improve outcomes and influence procedure decisions.
  • NHS policy changes or funding could impact accessibility and the number of surgeries performed.

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