Forecast: Coffee Production in Angola

Coffee production in Angola stood at 40.57 thousand units (Bags of 60 kg) in 2023. Over the past decade, the production has shown considerable volatility, with significant year-on-year variations, such as a notable increase of 12.8% in 2014 and a sharp decline of 21.91% in 2017. In more recent years, the growth has stabilized with minor fluctuations, displaying a 0.47% increase in 2023. The Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) over the last five years highlights an average annual variation of 0.09%, indicating overall stability.

Looking ahead, forecasts suggest a modest increase in production with an average CAGR of 0.38% over the next five years, leading to a projected production of 41.55 thousand units by 2028. This forecasted growth, though slight, points to a trend of steady but slow improvement in coffee production volumes in Angola.

Future trends to watch for include potential impacts of climate change on crop yields, innovations in agricultural practices, and fluctuations in global coffee prices which could influence production decisions. Additionally, government policy changes and investment in the coffee sector could contribute to more significant gains or setbacks.

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