The share of scientific publications involving international collaboration in pediatrics in China is projected to decrease gradually from 2024 onwards, starting at 17.84% and declining to 16.81% by 2028. This represents a consistent downward trend in international collaboration over the forecasted period. Before 2024, actual data indicate that this declining trend likely began in previous years, though specific 2023 data is not stated.
Over the next five years, the compound annual growth rate (CAGR) shows a slight negative trend, with a year-on-year percentage decrease each year. These metrics reflect a gradual shift in China's focus in pediatrics research, indicating possibly an increased domestic focus or evolving international partnerships.
Future trends to watch for include changes in global research funding, the impact of geopolitical dynamics on international collaboration, and any policy shifts in China aimed at fostering domestic research capabilities. Monitoring these elements will be crucial in understanding future directions in pediatric research collaboration.
