Forecast: Share of Scientific Publications Among the World's 10% Top-Cited Publications in Health Professions in Japan

In 2023, the share of Japan's scientific publications in the top 10% of most-cited works in health professions was modest relative to the projected increase starting in 2024. From 2024 to 2028, the forecast shows a rise from 4.9% to 5.36%, indicating a slight but steady annual growth. Year-on-year, this represents consecutive increases, culminating in a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 2.26% over the five-year period. This positive trajectory suggests a strengthening global presence of Japanese health science literature.

Future trends to watch include the potential impact of increased collaboration with international institutions and investment in cutting-edge research areas like personalized medicine and AI applications in health, which could bolster Japan's position in the scientific community.