Forecast: Copper Stocks in the US

The US copper stock level has shown a consistent decline over the past decade, decreasing from 258.0 thousand metric tons in 2013 to 92.54 thousand metric tons in 2023. This represents a significant decrease of 12.27% year-on-year in 2023. The average annual variation over the past five years (CAGR) has been a decrease of approximately 10.36%.

Looking forward, the forecasted data from 2024 to 2028 suggest an accelerated reduction in copper stocks. The average annual decline (forecasted 5-year CAGR) is projected at -20.45%, leading to an anticipated level of 24.95 thousand metric tons by 2028. This indicates an overall decrease of 68.15% over the next five years.

Future trends to watch for include:

  • Potential impacts of technological advancements in copper recycling affecting supply levels.
  • Economic factors such as market demand, trade policies, and copper mining activities influencing stock levels.
  • Environmental regulations and initiatives promoting sustainable resource management.
  • Geopolitical developments that may affect the global copper supply chain.

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