Forecast: Share of Corresponding/Leading Author in Scientific Publications in Visual Arts and Performing Arts in Canada

The share of corresponding/leading authors in scientific publications in Visual Arts and Performing Arts in Canada exhibits a gradual decline from 2024 to 2028, starting at 96.9% in 2024 and reducing to 96.57% in 2028. Compared to the baseline of 2023, which stood at 97.0%, the data reveals a downtrend. The year-on-year percentage variations are minimal, characterized by a slight decline each year. With a CAGR indicating a steady but slow downward shift in author share, the scientific community transitioned marginally away from previously high lead author dominance.

Future trends to watch for include potential collaborations across disciplines that might further alter author share dynamics, as well as impacts from digital publication trends and funding shifts, which could either bolster or weaken the concentration of lead authors in this field.

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