The overall trend in scientific publications in ophthalmology in Italy has shown substantial variability over the years. Starting from 2013, the publications have experienced both peaks and troughs with significant year-on-year variations. The highest growth was noted in 2017 with a 30.23% increase, followed by another significant rise in 2020 at 27.32%. However, certain years saw declines, such as in 2014, 2016, 2018, 2019, and recently in 2022 with a 13.8% drop. In 2023, the publications stood at 332.61 units, marking a modest increase of 3.47% from the previous year. The average annual growth rate (CAGR) over the last five years has been 5.99%.
Looking ahead, the forecasted data from 2024 to 2028 projects a steady increase in publications, with the five-year CAGR expected to be 2.34%, resulting in a total growth of 12.26% by 2028. This suggests a more stable but slower upward trend compared to previous years.
Future trends to watch for include potential impacts of emerging technologies in ophthalmology research, increased inter-disciplinary collaborations, and the influence of global scientific funding dynamics which could further stimulate publication rates in this field in Italy.