The total railway passenger traffic in Germany showed significant fluctuations from 2013 to 2023. The values registered incremental growth between 2013 and 2019, with a peak in 2019 at 2.938 billion units. However, the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic led to a sharp downturn in 2020 and a slow recovery thereafter, with traffic decreasing to 1.7522 billion units in 2020. By 2022, the value rebounded to 2.5059 billion units, yet slightly declined to 2.4169 billion units in 2023. The data indicate a YoY variation for 2023 of -3.55% and a five-year CAGR of -3.45% for the period leading up to 2023.
The forecasted data from 2024 to 2028 suggest a slow but steady recovery with an annual average growth rate of 1.45%. The expected railway passenger traffic is projected to grow to approximately 2.6487 billion units by 2028, marking an overall increase of 7.49% from 2024 to 2028.
Future trends to watch for include the potential effects of continued infrastructure investments, technological advancements in railway systems, and sustainable transportation initiatives. Additionally, the recovery of travel patterns post-pandemic and government policies encouraging public transport usage will play crucial roles in shaping the railway passenger traffic trends in Germany.