From 2013 to 2018, the mortality rate caused by road traffic injury in Spain showed slight fluctuations, staying around 4.0 deaths per hundred thousand persons. However, a noticeable downward trend began in 2019 with a significant reduction in mortality rates each year. By 2023, the rate stood at 2.8 deaths per hundred thousand persons, representing a substantial year-on-year decline of approximately 9.68% from 2022. Over the last five years leading up to 2023, the compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of the mortality rate fell by about 7.34%.
In the forecasted period from 2024 to 2028, the mortality rate is expected to continue its downward trajectory, reaching as low as 1.5 deaths per hundred thousand persons by 2028. The forecasted CAGR for the next five years is predicted to be around -9.71%, indicating a sharp decline in the rate.
Future trends to watch for include advancements in road safety technologies, increased implementation of strict traffic regulations, and improvements in emergency medical response systems. These factors will significantly influence the reduction in road traffic injury mortality rates in Spain moving forward.