Forecast: Mortality Caused by Road Traffic Injury in the Netherlands

The mortality caused by road traffic injuries in the Netherlands has exhibited fluctuations over the past decade, with values oscillating between 3.5 and 4.1 deaths per hundred thousand persons. The year 2023 is marked by a mortality rate of 3.8 deaths per hundred thousand persons. The year-on-year variation over the past two years reveals a slight stabilization, with a consistent 0% change in 2023 following a marginal decline of 2.56% in 2022. The 5-year CAGR indicates a slight negative trend at -1.51%.

For the forecasted period from 2024 to 2028, the mortality rate is expected to continue its gradual decline, settling back to 3.5 deaths per hundred thousand persons by 2028. This projection reflects a five-year CAGR of -1.11%, indicating a decreasing trend in future road traffic injury fatalities.

Future trends to watch for include the impact of advancements in vehicle safety technology, enhanced road infrastructure, implementation of stricter traffic regulations, and wider adoption of alternative transportation modes, which could contribute further to the reduction in mortality rates from road traffic injuries.