Forecast: Influenza Mortality in Brazil

The forecast for influenza mortality in Brazil among females remains constant at a standardized rate of 600 deaths per hundred women from 2024 to 2028. This consistent figure indicates no year-on-year change from previous forecasts, suggesting stability in mortality projections. In 2023, the standardized rate aligned with these forecasts, making the five-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) effectively zero, as there is no fluctuation expected.

Future trends to watch include:

  • Potential impacts of new antiviral treatments or vaccine updates on mortality rates.
  • Effects of evolving influenza virus strains and their distribution.
  • Increased healthcare access or public health campaigns that could alter these projections.

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