Forecast: Raw Steel Production in Kenya

The raw steel production in Kenya has shown varied growth over the past decade, reaching 493 Thousand Metric Tons in 2023. From 2013 to 2023, the sector noted a compounded annual growth rate (CAGR) of 2.77%, with significant fluctuations, including a -14.76% decline in 2020 followed by a strong recovery of 23.65% in 2021. Growth has stabilized in recent years with a 2.49% increase in 2023. The forecasted data for 2024-2028 indicates a slower but consistent growth trajectory with a forecasted 5-year CAGR of 1.83% and an overall growth rate of 9.49% by 2028.

Future trends to watch for include:

  • Increased investments in infrastructure projects could spur demand for raw steel.
  • Government policies on industrialization and manufacturing incentives.
  • Global steel market dynamics influencing local production capabilities and prices.

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