In 2023, the import value of military weapons other than handguns and swords to Japan stood at $6.0 million. Forecasts for the following years indicate a consistent decrease in imports: $5.48 million in 2024, dropping progressively to $3.64 million by 2028. This reflects a year-on-year decline of approximately 8.65% from 2024 to 2025, and an average Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of -8.93% over the five-year period.

Future trends to watch for include:

Geopolitical tensions influencing defense priorities and budget allocations.
Technological advancements potentially altering import patterns, encouraging self-reliance or focusing on specific types of military equipment.
Japan's evolving defense policy, which could impact import strategies and partnerships.