The forecast for orange and mandarine production in the US for the period of 2024 to 2028 shows a consistent decline. Production is projected to decrease from 3.54 million metric tons in 2024 to 2.78 million metric tons in 2028. In 2023, production stood at 3.74 million metric tons. The year-on-year variations highlight a steady reduction, with the most significant drop observed in the last two forecasted years, showing declines of 6.03% between 2026 and 2027, and 6.08% between 2027 and 2028. Overall, the 5-year CAGR indicates an average annual decrease in production of approximately 6.69%.
Looking ahead, key trends to watch include the potential impacts of climate change, evolving agricultural practices, and shifting market dynamics which could either exacerbate or mitigate the forecasted production declines. Monitoring technological advancements in farming and potential policy changes will also be crucial for future projections.
