The rail passenger transport in Germany has showcased a dynamic trend over the past decade. In 2023, the volume stood at 107.1 billion passenger kilometers. Notably, there was a sharp decline of 43.65% in 2020 due to the pandemic, but the sector rebounded strongly in 2021 with a 72.13% increase. The recovery continued with a stable growth rate of 6.75% in 2022 and 1.37% in 2023. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) from 2019 to 2023 was 1.76%, illustrating a gradual recovery post-pandemic.
Forecasts from 2024 to 2028 indicate a steady growth pattern, with the volume expected to reach 114.34 billion passenger kilometers by 2028. The forecasted CAGR over the next five years stands at 1.09%, with an overall growth rate of 5.56% by 2028, pointing towards moderate but consistent growth.
Future trends to watch for will include the impact of digitalization, environmental policies, and infrastructure investments. Additionally, shifts in commuter behavior and the adoption of sustainable practices will play significant roles in shaping the future of rail passenger transport in Germany.