The forecast for the gross electricity production of nuclear heat in the Netherlands indicates a stable trajectory with minimal variation. Specifically, the production is expected to remain consistent at 332.81 thousand tonnes of oil equivalent from 2024 to 2026, with a slight increase to 332.82 in 2027 and 2028. This stability suggests that there were no significant shifts or innovations expected to impact nuclear electricity production in the short term. Historical data from 2023 positions the production at a comparable level, affirming the steadiness of this energy source.
Year-on-year variation shows essentially no change between 2024 to 2026, with a near-negligible rise of less than 0.01% observed towards the end of the forecast period in 2027 and 2028. This lack of substantial change highlights the predictability of the output from existing nuclear facilities within this time frame. Considering the compound annual growth rate (CAGR), the average variation per year over the last five years is marginal, suggesting technological and infrastructural factors within the sector remain constant.
Future trends to watch for include potential policy shifts towards renewable energy, technological advancements in nuclear reactor designs, and societal acceptance of nuclear energy. Any movement in these areas could significantly impact the forecasted stability by either increasing production capacity or reducing reliance on nuclear energy as part of a diversified energy portfolio.