Between 2013 and 2023, the share of practising General Practitioners (GPs) in Australia consistently declined from 32.9% to 31.29% of Total Physicians, showing an overall downward trend. The annual year-on-year variation fluctuated, peaking at a decline of -2.16% in 2021 and recording a minimal dip of -0.22% in 2019 and 2023. The Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) for the last five years (2019 - 2023) averaged at -0.52%.
Based on forecasts from 2024 to 2028, the share of practising GPs is expected to further decline moderately from 31.23% to 31.08%, with an annual average decrease of -0.1% per year. The forecasted CAGR over the next five years indicates a growth rate of -0.48%, suggesting a continued slight downward trend.
Future trends to watch for:
- Impacts of healthcare policy changes on GP workforce distribution.
- Technological advancements influencing GP practice and healthcare delivery.
- Demographic shifts affecting demand for GP services.
- Broader healthcare system pressures potentially increasing GP workload and responsibilities.
