Forecast: Hospital Discharges for Mental and Behavioural Disorders Cases in Canada

In 2023, hospital discharges for mental and behavioral disorders in Canada stood at 699.1 units per hundred thousand persons. Over the last few years, the trend saw varied year-on-year changes: from a significant increase of 17.28% in 2013 to minor fluctuations and brief declines in subsequent years. Notably, from 2020 to 2021, there was a recovery, with discharges increasing by 4.56%. However, the growth trend softened closer to 2023 with a smaller 0.94% rise. The five-year CAGR leading up to 2023 was relatively modest at 0.77%, indicating stabilizing figures over time.

Looking ahead, the forecasted hospital discharges are expected to continue experiencing slight growth, reaching 716.7 units per hundred thousand persons by 2028. The five-year forecast CAGR is projected at 0.35%, reflecting a continued gradual increase in discharge rates. This outlook suggests a stable but slow rise in hospitalizations, requiring monitoring of underlying factors such as mental health service accessibility and societal stressors.

Future trends to watch for include:

  • Impact of healthcare policy changes on mental health services
  • Socio-economic conditions influencing mental health
  • Advances in mental health treatments and interventions
  • Changes in public awareness and stigma surrounding mental health issues

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