Forecast: Tobacco Consumption in the UK

Based on the forecast data from 2024 to 2028, there is a clear downward trend in the percentage of women aged 15-24 who are daily smokers in the UK. In 2023, the actual value stood at 11.3%. Year-on-year variations show a steady decline: 7.96% from 2024 to 2025, 7.69% from 2025 to 2026, 9.38% from 2026 to 2027, and 9.20% from 2027 to 2028. The Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) from 2024 to 2028 is approximately -8.41%, indicating an average annual reduction of this magnitude over the forecast period.

Future trends to watch for include potential factors influencing smoking rates, such as tighter regulations, increased public health campaigns, the rise of alternative nicotine products, and further societal shifts towards healthier lifestyles. These elements could further accelerate the downward trend in tobacco consumption.

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