The forecasted motor gasoline refinery output in France, excluding biofuel, indicates a consistent decline from 359.77 thousand terajoules in 2024 to 292.44 thousand terajoules in 2028. With the output in 2023 being 376.89 thousand terajoules (based on historical data), the year-on-year reduction is notable at approximately 4.5% from 2024 onwards. Over the five-year forecast period, the compound annual growth rate (CAGR) is expected to be approximately -4.0%, reflecting a significant downward trend.

Future trends to watch for:

The growing emphasis on renewable fuels and its impact on reducing traditional gasoline output.
Potential policy changes in France and Europe aimed at reducing carbon emissions.
Technological advancements in refinery processes and potential shifts in the energy mix.
Economic factors and consumer behavior influencing demand for gasoline.