Forecast: Hospital Discharges in France

The number of hospital discharges in France stood at 11.635 million in 2023. Over the past two years, discharges have shown a positive trend with a year-on-year increase of 2.08% in 2023 and 7.33% in 2022. This comes after a significant decline of 12.41% in 2020 due to the COVID-19 pandemic, where discharges fell drastically to 10.285 million.

Analyzing a longer period, from 2013 to 2023, the compound annual growth rate (CAGR) was -0.36%. Looking ahead, the forecast shows a slight decline with the expected CAGR over the next five years also at -0.36% driving to 11.375 million discharges by 2028.

**Future Trends to Watch For:**

  • Potential impacts of healthcare policies on hospital admission rates.
  • Technological advancements in telemedicine and outpatient care reducing inpatient discharges.
  • An aging population that may increase the need for hospital services despite the declining trend.

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