Forecast: Agricultural Products and Livestock Gross Value Added in the UK

Based on the provided data, the Gross Value Added (GVA) of Agricultural Products and Livestock in the UK showed notable fluctuations from 2013 to 2023. The series reached a value of £13.76 billion in 2023. There have been significant year-on-year variations: 2021 experienced a substantial 19.43% increase, but 2022 saw a 9.01% decline. The average annual growth rate over the past five years (2019-2023) is calculated at around 4.58%. Forecasts suggest a continued upward trend, with the GVA expected to reach £15.83 billion by 2028, implying a future 5-year CAGR of 2.22% and an overall growth rate of 11.61%.

Future trends to watch for include:

- The impact of climate change on agricultural productivity and livestock yields.

- Technological advancements in farming practices which could enhance efficiency and output.

- Policy changes related to agriculture and trade that may affect market dynamics and pricing.

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