The data indicates that Turkey's railway passenger traffic in conventional trains experienced fluctuations between 2013 and 2023, with a notable decrease from 2020 onwards. Notably, 2023 saw the passenger traffic value at 2.22 billion passenger-kilometers, a 4.43% decline from the previous year and a negative CAGR of 5.89% over the last five years. This points to a consistent decline with fluctuations driven by external factors like the pandemic in 2020. The forecast suggests a continual downward trajectory with an anticipated average negative CAGR of 4.42% over the next five years, projecting a decrease to 1.67 billion passenger-kilometers by 2028.
Future trends to watch for include potential impacts from economic factors, infrastructure investments, and technological advancements in transportation which could either mitigate or exacerbate the forecasted decline in railway passenger traffic in Turkey. Furthermore, policy changes promoting public transportation could play a crucial role in reversing this trend.
