In 2023, the US produced 3.3786 million metric tons of oranges, marking a 6.95% year-on-year decline from 2022. The five-year CAGR has been negative, averaging -0.9% annually, reflecting a consistent downward trend.
From 2013 to 2023, the US oranges production has exhibited a significant downward trend due to multiple factors, including adverse weather conditions, disease outbreaks such as citrus greening, and decreasing acreage dedicated to orange cultivation. The only sharp increase was observed in 2019, with a 36.69% rise which was an anomaly amidst the general decline.
The forecast from 2024 to 2028 indicates a continuing decrease, with the five-year CAGR projected at -7.85%. The forecasted production is expected to drop to 2.0613 million metric tons by 2028, representing a 33.54% decrease over this period.
Future trends to watch for include the impact of climate change, advancements in agricultural technologies, potential shifts towards more disease-resistant crops, and market demand changes driven by consumer preferences and global trade dynamics.
