Labor costs in US business services have shown significant growth from 2013 to 2023, with the value standing at 6.0629 trillion US dollars in 2023. This rise reflects ongoing economic expansion, upward pressure on wages, and structural market changes. The year-on-year increases have ranged from a high of around 5-6% in mid-decade to more modest growth rates around 2-3% recently. The 5-year CAGR leading up to 2023 was 2.87%.
Looking ahead, from 2024 onward, forecasted data suggests labor costs will continue to rise but at a slower rate, with a 5-year CAGR of 1.65% and an overall growth rate of 8.53% by 2028.
Future trends to watch for include:
- Technological advancements and automation impacting labor needs
- Changes in workforce dynamics, including remote work adoption
- Potential regulatory changes affecting labor costs, such as minimum wage adjustments
- Global economic factors influencing the US market