Forecast: Refinery Gas Final Consumption in Chemical and Petrochemical Sectors in France

The final consumption of refinery gas in the chemical and petrochemical sectors in France has experienced significant fluctuations over the years. A peak in 2019 and 2020 at 1,350 and 1,430 Gigawatthours respectively was followed by a sharp decline reaching 322.69 Gigawatthours in 2023. Despite a modest 5.84% increase in 2020, the trend over the last few years shows a decline with a negative year-on-year variations of -72.88%, -8.08%, and -9.36% in 2021, 2022, and 2023 respectively.

Looking into the future, forecasts for 2024 and beyond indicate a continuous downward trajectory with a forecasted 2028 value of 180.65 Gigawatthours, representing a forecasted 5-year CAGR of -9.1%. The refinery gas consumption in France's chemical and petrochemical sectors is projected to decrease significantly by 2028.

Future trends to watch for include:

  • Shifts in energy policies and regulations towards sustainability and reduced carbon emissions.
  • Technological advancements promoting alternative energy sources.
  • Changes in the economic landscape impacting industrial energy consumption patterns.
  • Possible shifts in the global petrochemical market affecting local demand.

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