In 2023, the share of corresponding/leading authors in scientific publications in pediatrics in India was around 96.45%. The forecast from 2024 to 2028 shows a gradual decline from 96.23% to 95.36%. This reflects a year-on-year decrease of approximately 0.22% from 2024 to 2025, 0.22% from 2025 to 2026, and continuing similarly across subsequent years. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) over the five-year period from 2024 to 2028 is -0.23% annually, indicating a slow but steady decrease.

Future trends to watch:

Diversification of author roles, indicating increasing collaboration among researchers.
Rising participation from international authors or junior researchers.
Technological advancements in research facilitation, leading to potential shifts in authorship dynamics.