Forecast: Private Health Insurance Coverage in Brazil

The private health insurance coverage in Brazil has experienced fluctuations over the past decade. From 2013 to 2016, the coverage increased, peaking in 2015 at 25.8, followed by a decline through 2019. A rebound occurred from 2020 onward, reaching 25.5 in 2023. The CAGR over the last 5 years was modest at 1.05%, indicating gradual growth. The year-on-year variation reflects a mix of modest gains and declines.

Looking ahead to the forecasted period from 2024 to 2028, the expected CAGR is 0.61%, with an overall growth rate of 3.1%. This suggests a steady but slow increase in private health insurance coverage. In 2024 and beyond, it will be important to monitor several factors:

• Changes in economic conditions impacting affordability.• Government policy shifts affecting public healthcare.• Evolution of healthcare needs due to demographic changes.• Competitive dynamics within the insurance market.

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