The mortality caused by road traffic injury in Poland has shown a general declining trend from 2013 up to 2023, decreasing from a high of 10.8 deaths per hundred thousand persons in 2013 to 8.0 deaths in 2023. Over the years, fluctuations occurred; notable years include 2015 with a significant decrease of -10.58% and 2016 with a slight increase of 4.3%. However, the trend resumed its decline afterward. Specifically, for the recent years, there was a -5.32% decrease in 2020, followed by smaller year-on-year declines of -3.37% in 2021 and -3.49% in 2022, culminating in a -3.61% decline in 2023.
Looking over a longer period (2013-2023), the compound annual growth rate (CAGR) stands at -2.76%, reflecting the steady decrease in mortality rates. Moving into future projections, from 2024 to 2028, the forecasted CAGR is further expected to decline at a rate of -3.33%, leading to a predicted mortality rate of 6.5 deaths per hundred thousand persons by 2028. This suggests a continued improvement in road safety measures.
Future trends to watch for include the impact of increasing implementation of advanced traffic management systems, improvements in vehicle safety technologies, enhanced road infrastructure, and policies aimed at reducing road traffic injuries. Moreover, the growing awareness and stricter enforcement of road safety regulations are likely to play a crucial role in sustaining this downward trend.