In the past decade, China’s production of tangerines and mandarins has consistently increased, with a notable growth from 17.85 million metric tons in 2013 to an actual reported value of 27.985 million metric tons in 2023. The year-on-year growth rate observed a peak in 2020 with an 8.7% increase, facilitated by favorable climatic conditions and improved agricultural practices. Despite a brief setback in 2022, the production rebounded in 2023 with a 5.6% increase.
Recent data points toward an optimistic forecast, with production expected to grow at a CAGR of 2.61% over the next five years, reaching approximately 32.995 million metric tons by 2028. The projected 13.75% overall growth over this period indicates steady but moderate expansion.
Future trends to watch for include the impacts of climate change on citrus production, potential advances in agricultural technologies, and shifts in domestic and international demand. Improved resistance to diseases and pests, along with sustainable farming practices, could further enhance production capacity.
