As of 2023, the number of new extrapulmonary tuberculosis cases in Italy stood at approximately 822. The forecast suggests a gradual decline in the number of cases, predicted to decrease annually by about 0.61% from 2024 to 2028. The extrapolation indicates a steady downward trend, with the number of cases dropping slightly each year from 817 cases in 2024 to 797 cases by 2028. Over the five-year period from 2024 to 2028, this results in a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of -0.61%, reflecting a modest reduction in the incidence of new cases annually.

Future trends to watch include potential changes in public health policies, vaccination rates, and healthcare practices that may impact the rate of new cases.
Monitoring improvements in diagnostic technologies could further influence the detection and reporting of extrapulmonary tuberculosis cases.
The ongoing impact of global health initiatives and socioeconomic factors should also be considered as they may affect the incidence rate.