The share of corresponding/leading authors in pediatrics publications in the US is projected to experience a gradual decline from 97.06% in 2024 to 96.48% in 2028. Compared to 2023, where the value stood at 97.13%, the anticipated yearly decrease is minimal, reflecting a slight decline each year with an average annual decrease of approximately 0.15% over the next five years, indicating a sustainable pace. However, this stable trend shows a continual decline, suggesting authorship dynamics are shifting.
Future trends to watch for:
- Increased global collaboration could further dilute US leading authorship as international co-author contributions might rise.
- The growing emphasis on interdisciplinary studies could affect the traditional authorship distribution, encouraging more diverse lead roles.
