Analyzing the goat milk production delivered to dairies in Türkiye from 2013 to 2023 shows a notable fluctuation. The highest production was in 2015 at 57.0 thousand metric tons, followed by a general downward trend. In 2023, production stood at 40.45 thousand metric tons, demonstrating a decline from its peak.
Over the last two years, there was a significant -20.79% drop in 2022 followed by an 11.49% rebound in 2023. The five-year CAGR (Compound Annual Growth Rate) ending in 2023 was -3.84%, highlighting a steady decrease.
Looking ahead, the forecast from 2024 to 2028 indicates a continuous decline with a 5-year CAGR of -2.55%, equating to an overall drop of -12.13%. This suggests a persistent downward trend driven by various industry and market factors.
Future trends to watch for include technological advancements in dairy farming, changes in consumer preferences towards goat milk, and potential policy changes affecting the dairy industry. The impact of climate change and economic conditions on agricultural outputs will also play a crucial role.
