Forecast: Share of Scientific Publications Among the World's 10% Top-Cited Publications in Artificial Intelligence in Germany

In 2023, Germany's share of scientific publications in the top 10% of cited works in AI stood at a notable height. From 2024, the forecast data reveals a gradual decrease annually, from 10.05% in 2024 to 9.06% in 2028. These figures mark a slight downturn, with a year-on-year percentage decrease demonstrating an incremental decline in the share of top-cited AI publications within this period.

Future trends to watch for include:

  • The impact of increased global competition on Germany’s AI research visibility and citation.
  • Germany’s strategies and investments in AI innovations to potentially reverse or stabilize the declining trend.
  • Potential shifts in global research collaborations and their influence on publication impact.

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