In 2023, the share of the corresponding/leading author in UK pediatric scientific publications stood at approximately 93.14%. Forecasted data from 2024 to 2028 indicates a slight decline, with the share projected to decrease year on year by 0.37% in 2025, 0.37% in 2026, 0.37% in 2027, and 0.37% in 2028. Over the five years, the compound annual growth rate (CAGR) indicates an average decline of 0.46% per year.

Future trends to watch for:

Increasing collaboration and co-authorship trends may influence lead author shares in publications.
The integration of interdisciplinary research may further diversify the authorship structure in pediatrics.
Training and development programs aimed at early-career researchers could affect future authorship dynamics.