Forecast: Transport of Empty Road Freight in Germany

The transport of empty road freight in Germany is projected to steadily increase from 6.7 billion vehicle-kilometers in 2024 to 6.75 billion vehicle-kilometers by 2028. This consistent upward trend from 2024 represents a modest annual rise with year-on-year growth averaging around 0.15% to 0.29% over the forecast period, a continuation of the observed trend between 2023 to 2024, where the volume was slightly below 6.7 billion vehicle-kilometers. The compounded annual growth rate (CAGR) over the five-year period from 2024 to 2028 is approximately 0.19%.

Future trends to watch include:

  • The impact of advancements in logistics optimization technology on reducing empty mileage.
  • Potential regulatory changes aimed at increasing load efficiency.
  • Environmental policies and their influence on transport strategies.

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