The mortality rate for chronic liver diseases and cirrhosis in the UK is projected to increase steadily from 14.2 deaths per hundred thousand persons in 2024 to 15.0 by 2028. This represents a year-on-year increase of 2.1% from 2024 to 2025, a 0.7% increase from 2025 to 2026, a 1.4% rise from 2026 to 2027, and another 1.4% increase from 2027 to 2028. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) over the five-year period is anticipated to be approximately 1.4%.
Future trends to watch include advancements in medical treatments and healthcare policies targeting liver disease prevention, changes in alcohol consumption patterns, and the impact of public health initiatives aimed at reducing risk factors such as obesity and viral infections. These factors could significantly influence mortality rates related to chronic liver diseases and cirrhosis.
